Vegas Golden Knights vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction – Expert NHL Pick & Betting Preview (Nov 6, 2025)

Expert Vegas Golden Knights vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction and betting preview for Nov 6, 2025. Get odds, trends, goalie matchups, and our top NHL pick powered by PowerUp Casino.

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by The Tipster

3 weeks ago 0 160

Vegas Golden Knights vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction

Game Overview

Vegas Golden Knights vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction: The Vegas Golden Knights (7-2-3) host the Tampa Bay Lightning (6-5-2) on Thursday, November 6, 2025, at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Puck drop is set for 10 p.m. EST and coverage will air on ESPN+.

Vegas looks to even the season series after falling 2–1 in overtime to Tampa Bay on October 26. This time, the Golden Knights are back home and riding confidence from a strong defensive showing in a 1–0 win over Detroit.

Recent Form & Trends

Vegas Golden Knights: 6-2-2 in their last 10 games, allowing just 2.2 goals per game. Vegas is 13-5 in its last 18 matchups against Eastern Conference teams and 4-1 in its last five home games.
Tampa Bay Lightning: 5-3-2 over their last 10 games but just 2-9 in their last 11 as an underdog. The Lightning dropped a 3–2 decision to Colorado on Tuesday and now face a quick turnaround traveling to Nevada.

Vegas has thrived when controlling possession, ranking among the league’s best in shot differential, while Tampa has struggled to find consistent offense beyond Anthony Cirelli and Jake Guentzel.

Goaltending Matchup

Vegas: Akira Schmid (6–1–0, 2.31 GAA, .908 SV%) has stabilized the crease while Adin Hill remains sidelined.
Tampa Bay: Andrei Vasilevskiy (3–4–2, 2.67 GAA, .900 SV%) remains elite but has faced heavy workloads behind an inconsistent blue line.

Vegas owns a clear edge in depth and defensive structure — both key factors in this matchup.

Team Stats Snapshot

Category	Vegas	Tampa Bay
Goals per Game	3.33	2.85
Goals Allowed	2.58	2.77
Power Play %	25.0%	13.6%
Penalty Kill %	81.3%	88.6%
Home/Away Record	4-1-1 (Home)	3-2-2 (Away)

Vegas’s special teams have found rhythm, particularly their power play led by Jack Eichel and Pavel Dorofeyev, while Tampa’s penalty kill remains strong but overworked.

Player to Watch

Jack Eichel (VGK) – The Vegas star has racked up 19 points (8G, 11A) in 12 games and continues to be the offensive engine of this team. Look for him to create opportunities against a tired Lightning defense.

Jake Guentzel (TBL) – With five goals and seven assists, Guentzel remains Tampa’s most consistent forward and will need to produce for the Bolts to keep pace on the road.

Vegas Golden Knights vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction & Expert Pick

This is a revenge game for the Golden Knights after dropping the first meeting in overtime. Vegas has the better rest advantage, home-ice edge, and goaltending form. Tampa Bay is just 2–9 in its last 11 as an underdog and faces a difficult back-to-back against elite Western competition.

Pick: ✅ Vegas Golden Knights (-120)
Confidence Level: ★★★★★★★ (7 Units)

Decimal Odds:

American Odds:

Fractional Odds:

Odds calculator via sports-statistics.com

Vegas Golden Knights vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction: Expect Vegas to control possession, capitalize on special teams, and take this one 4–2 at home to even the season series.