Timberwolves vs Warriors prediction: Curry’s return boosts Golden State in a tricky West matchup

Timberwolves vs Warriors prediction time at Chase Center, where Minnesota arrives with one of the better early-season profiles in the West and Golden State tries to stack wins at home.

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by The Tipster

2 months ago 0 129

Timberwolves vs Warriors prediction time at Chase Center, where Minnesota arrives with one of the better early-season profiles in the West and Golden State tries to stack wins at home. This matchup has real playoff-style edges: pace control, half-court shot quality, and whether the Warriors can punish Minnesota’s size with spacing and quick decisions.

🏟️ Timberwolves vs Warriors prediction: Game info

Matchup: Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors
Venue: Chase Center (San Francisco)
Tip-off: December 12, 2025 (10:00 PM ET / 7:00 PM PT)
Records: Timberwolves 15-9 (6th West) | Warriors 13-12 (8th West)
Broadcast: NBA TV (check local listings)

📈 Timberwolves vs Warriors prediction: Recent form & key numbers

This Timberwolves vs Warriors prediction starts with the baseline: Minnesota has been scoring at a top-10 clip (119.6 PPG) while allowing 114.8 PPG, and Golden State has leaned into defense (111.7 OPPG) while sitting at 113.5 PPG on offense. The records are close enough that one swing factor (availability, shooting variance, foul trouble) can decide it.

From an efficiency lens, Minnesota’s offense has graded out extremely well so far, while the Warriors’ defense has been among the league’s better units. NBA.com’s advanced leaders have Minnesota listed with an elite offensive rating (117.9) and Golden State with a top-tier defensive rating (110.7). That tension is exactly why the handicap matters: can the Warriors keep the Timberwolves out of the paint and off the free-throw line while still generating clean threes the other way?

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Last time out, Minnesota dropped a tight one at home, losing 108-105 to Phoenix despite a 40-point night from Anthony Edwards. Golden State’s most recent statement was a 123-91 road demolition of Chicago, a game that showcased ball movement and depth scoring.

🩺 Timberwolves vs Warriors prediction: Injury report & availability notes

In a matchup this tight, the Timberwolves vs Warriors prediction swings hard on who’s actually on the floor. The league’s official injury report lists Anthony Edwards as questionable (right foot soreness) and Mike Conley as out (right Achilles tendinopathy) for Minnesota. For Golden State, Draymond Green is out (personal reasons) and Al Horford is out (right sciatic nerve irritation), while Trayce Jackson-Davis is listed as probable (right knee patellar tendinitis).

The big headline: multiple reputable reports indicate Steph Curry is set to return for this one after missing time with a left quad issue. Even if Curry is not 100% conditioned, his gravity changes Minnesota’s pick-and-roll coverages and stresses their low-man rotations.

Timberwolves: Anthony Edwards (Q), Mike Conley (OUT)
Warriors: Draymond Green (OUT), Al Horford (OUT), Trayce Jackson-Davis (Probable)
Notable return watch: Steph Curry expected back

🔍 Timberwolves vs Warriors prediction: Matchup breakdown (what decides it)

1) Curry’s gravity vs Minnesota’s point-of-attack defense. The Timberwolves can defend in multiple ways, but Curry forces “no mistakes” switching and perfect nail help. In this Timberwolves vs Warriors prediction, that matters because it can turn good Minnesota possessions into great Warriors shots on the other end via long rebounds and early offense.

2) Golden State’s defensive identity without Draymond. Green’s absence changes the communication level and the “free safety” reads that erase rim attempts. The Warriors can still defend, but they need clean first contact in transition and strong weak-side box-outs versus Minnesota’s size (Gobert, Reid, and company).

3) Can Minnesota win the math game? Minnesota’s efficient offense has been real, but Golden State’s best path is to win the possession battle: fewer live-ball turnovers, more assisted threes, and forcing Minnesota into late-clock jumpers. NBA.com’s numbers pointing to a strong Warriors defensive rating reinforce the idea that this is a game Golden State can drag into its preferred shot profile.

4) The Conley factor (and Edwards status). If Conley is out and Edwards is limited or sits, Minnesota’s late-clock organization changes dramatically. If Edwards plays and is at full burst, the matchup becomes far more volatile—his rim pressure can bend a defense even when the first action is covered.

💰 Timberwolves vs Warriors prediction: Best bet (spread) & stake

Pick: Golden State Warriors -3.5
Odds: -107
Book: Pinnacle
Stake: 7 units

My Timberwolves vs Warriors prediction leans Golden State on the number because the Warriors’ defensive profile has been strong, the matchup improves with Curry’s return, and Minnesota’s backcourt availability introduces real late-game variance. If Edwards is confirmed in and fully cleared, the spread becomes more fragile—but if Minnesota is even slightly compromised at the guard spots, Golden State’s spacing and shot quality advantage should show up over four quarters.