💥 Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals Prediction: Capitals to Stay Hot at Home

🏒 Game Preview – Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals Prediction

The red-hot run continues — 5–0 to start the NHL season — and we’re heading to the nation’s capital for our next play: Washington Capitals -115 vs Tampa Bay Lightning (6 units).

The Capitals have found their rhythm early, winning back-to-back games on the road after a narrow opening loss to Boston. They return home with momentum, led by Anthony Beauvillier, who scored the lone goal in a 1–0 shutout over the Rangers, and Aliaksei Protas, who tallied two goals and an assist against the Islanders.

Defensively, Washington has been elite. They’ve allowed just three goals total over their last two games, with Logan Thompson posting a .962 save percentage and Charlie Lindgren recording a shutout in his debut.

The Lightning, on the other hand, come in 1–2–0 after a chaotic first week. They blew multi-goal leads in their first two losses before barely hanging on for a 4–3 win against Boston. Andrei Vasilevskiy is confirmed to start, but the Lightning defense in front of him has struggled with coverage and penalties — conceding nine goals in their first two outings.

Tampa’s star power remains — Nikita Kucherov and Brayden Point have combined for 7 points already — but Washington’s defensive structure and home form make this a strong value play at nearly even money.

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🧤 Projected Goalies

Tampa Bay Lightning: Andrei Vasilevskiy (Confirmed)
Washington Capitals: Logan Thompson (Confirmed)
Source: Daily Faceoff, Oct 14, 2025

Vasilevskiy is a world-class goaltender, but Washington’s forecheck and power play have found their groove. Thompson, meanwhile, is coming off a 34-save win and looks comfortable behind a rejuvenated Caps blue line featuring Jakob Chychrun and John Carlson.

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📊 Key Stats – Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals Prediction

• Washington has allowed just 3 goals total over the last two games.
• Tampa Bay gave up 5+ goals in two of their first three matchups.
• The Lightning are 0–2 on the road this season.
• Capitals have won 3 of their last 4 home games vs Tampa.
• Washington has killed 10 of 11 penalties so far this year.

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💰 Betting Recommendation – Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals Prediction

➡️ Bet: Washington Capitals -115
➡️ Odds: -115
➡️ Stake: 6 Units
➡️ Bookmaker: 1win

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Odds calculator via sports-statistics.com

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The Capitals are confident, defensively sound, and finally back home after two statement road wins. Tampa’s sloppy defensive play and heavy schedule spot them as a fade here.

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🏆 Final Score Prediction

Washington Capitals 3 – 2 Tampa Bay Lightning

Expect a close, gritty game with Washington’s structure and goaltending depth making the difference.