Philadelphia Flyers vs New York Rangers prediction for Thursday night. Full betting breakdown and why Over 5.5 goals is our 4-unit NHL play.
Philadelphia Flyers vs New York Rangers Prediction – Goals Expected at MSG
Philadelphia Flyers vs New York Rangers Prediction
Philadelphia Flyers vs New York Rangers Prediction – 4 Unit NHL Play
📍 Bet:
4-Unit Play: Over 5.5 Goals (-125)
Bookmaker: Coolbet
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The Philadelphia Flyers head into Madison Square Garden to face the New York Rangers in a matchup between two Metropolitan Division teams trending defensively in the wrong direction.
This number opened at 5.5 and the juice is climbing — and for good reason.
Why We’re Playing Over 5.5
Both teams allow 3.16 goals per game.
Both teams are struggling defensively in recent form.
And both have elite offensive weapons capable of pushing pace.
The Rangers are 19-6-1 when scoring 3+ goals.
The Flyers have conceded 3+ goals in 6 of their last 8 games.
This profiles as a game where:
• Rangers push tempo at home
• Flyers respond in transition
• Special teams create extra scoring chances
• Defensive breakdowns continue
Goaltending Situation
Philadelphia Flyers likely roll with Samuel Ersson, who carries a 3.51 GAA this season.
New York Rangers have Igor Shesterkin confirmed — but even elite goaltenders struggle when defensive structure breaks down in front of them.
The Rangers have allowed 3.7 goals per game over their last 10.
Philadelphia is allowing 3.1 over that same span.
That is not under hockey.
Offensive Firepower on Both Sides
The Flyers lean heavily on Travis Konecny’s production, while the Rangers counter with Artemi Panarin and Mika Zibanejad.
This isn’t a defensive grind profile. It’s a divisional game between two teams that:
• Take penalties
• Allow quality chances
• Struggle protecting leads
• Have power-play talent
Special teams alone could push this over.
Recent Form Points to Goals
Rangers last 5:
6-5, 5-2, 2-1, 6-5, 4-3
Flyers last 5:
6-3, 4-2, 3-2, 3-1, 2-1
We’re consistently seeing 6+ goal environments when these teams play up-tempo opponents.
Additionally, the Rangers won the last meeting 6-3.
Philadelphia Flyers vs New York Rangers Prediction
We have this game closer to 6.2–6.4 total goals.
Even average finishing puts this number over.
In a rivalry game inside Madison Square Garden, with both defenses leaking and neither team sitting back, this total is short.
📊 Final Bet
4 Units – Over 5.5 Goals (-125)
This is a structure play.
Not chasing fireworks — simply following defensive trends, recent form, and divisional intensity.
Expect pace.
Expect power plays.
Expect goals.
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